China Central Bank Says Lending Heads For ‘Sustainable Level’

Chinese central bank official Yi Gang said the strength of lending in the country isn’t a cause for concern and will stabilize, reflecting the government’s reluctance to rein in economic stimulus measures.

“I think overall, the situation will converge to a sustainable level,” Deputy Central Bank Governor Yi told Bloomberg News on Oct. 3 in Istanbul, where the World Bank and International Monetary Fund are having their annual meetings. “In August, it was already not too much. June and August were pretty flat.”

Chinese officials including Yi and Finance Minister Xie Xuren met in Istanbul with other Group of 20 officials amid pledges to help shore up the world economy’s recovery from the deepest recession since World War II. French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde expressed optimism after weekend meetings that China will play its part in rebalancing global growth.

“This is the first time I’ve heard the Chinese” expressly indicate their growth forecasts and plans for domestic demand, she said yesterday. It was “very precise language” that, if followed, will help “address global imbalances” and “have consequences on exchange rates.”

As global trade flows declined, China suffered a 10-month slide in exports, damping growth in the region and pulling the nationwide expansion rate down to 6.1 percent in the first quarter, the slowest pace in almost a decade.

Masterful

The government is using its 4 trillion yuan ($586 billion) stimulus and record bank lending to build railways, roads and power plants, mostly in the less-developed west and center of the country.

“The Chinese are masterful at entry and exit,” said Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Economist Jim O’Neill in an interview, adding he expects lending to slow in coming months. “They could give lessons to many others.”

G-7 policy makers in Istanbul continued to lobby the Chinese government to help counter the dollar’s slide and smooth out lopsided global flows in trade and investment by letting the yuan appreciate faster. China, which controls the value of its currency, has kept the yuan largely unchanged in the past year against the dollar.

“We welcome China’s continued commitment to move to a more flexible exchange rate, which should lead to continued appreciation of the renminbi in effective terms and help promote more balanced growth in China and the world economy,” the G-7 said in a statement.

Stable Growth

China aims to achieve “stable and relatively fast” growth and contribute to a global recovery by maintaining the continuity and stability of its policies, Premier Wen Jiabao said on Sept. 30 in a nationally televised speech celebrating the 60th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China.

China’s new lending unexpectedly increased in August, reversing a dip in July, and money supply rose by a record, fueling the nation’s recovery from the slowest expansion in almost a decade. Yi’s comments echo others by China’s top leaders aiming to keep growth intact even as it fuels the risk of asset-price inflation.

At the same time, China will study the use of “regulatory tools” to adjust bank lending, Su Ning, another deputy governor at the country’s central bank, said Sept. 5.

A credit boom and a 4 trillion-yuan ($586 billion) stimulus package spurred economic growth to a 7.9 percent annual rate in the second quarter.

Loose Policy

China will stick to a “moderately loose” monetary policy and guide reasonable loan growth to further cement its economic recovery, the People’s Bank of China said Sept. 29. The country will continue to implement stimulus measures to boost domestic demand, the bank said.

“I think they’ve already started to pull back a little bit on the monetary side, and on fiscal side they don’t need to,” Goldman’s O’Neill said.

China’s banks extended 410.4 billion yuan of local- currency loans in August, up from 355.9 billion yuan in July and 271.54 billion yuan a year ago, the People’s Bank of China said on Sept. 10. M2, the broadest measure of money supply, rose 28.5 percent, the bank also said.

China’s inflation rate will climb to 3 percent for 2010 after a 0.5 percent decline in prices this year, the Asian Development Bank said in a Sept. 22 report.

To contact the reporter responsible for this story: Rob Delaney in Istanbul at

Stock srink - Suffer from Wall street uncertainty

ELLINGTON (Reuters) - Asian shares are set to plunge on Thursday after U.S. stocks hit a five-and-a-half year low, as investors now expect a lengthy recession to grip the globe.

Sentiment in the market was dire, compounded by U.S. automakers telling the government they will all but fail without taxpayer assistance, and fears of further credit problems cause a meltdown in commercial real estate.

The economic fears sent the U.S. dollar lower against the yen, while government debt rose on a steady flow of funds towards safe-haven assets.

Gold ended higher but oil continued its downward spiral on falling demand.

Why Now Is The Best Time To Invest In Real Estate

Many folks are nervous, uncertain and confused...there is fear in the air. Their number one question? "How will the current mortgage meltdown affect real estate investing?" Warren Buffet, one of the greatest investors of all time, offers the best strategy:

"Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful."

Investors like Warren Buffet and Donald Trump continually profit from this mantra.

When the real estate bubble was building, Donald Trump told people not to buy--but many did not listen--and unfortunately they are paying the price. Now, Mr. Trump is telling people to buy, buy, and buy some more. Once again Mr. Trump is at the forefront of smart investment choices. Listen to Mr. Trump's opinion on why the current financial turmoil is actually very good news for real estate investors looking for once-in-a-lifetime deals.

The most important is to take advantage of the largest real estate liquidation in history--and how he made more money in down markets than at any other time--you understand how critical it is to take advantage of low prices, low interest rates and a huge housing surplus.

Nakheel opens first on-site sales centre

Dubai-based developer Nakheel is opening its first on-site sales centre at Al Furjan, a new initiative to maximise the first-hand experience for buyers at its developments, the company said in a statement. The sales centre and show villas will welcome both existing and potential buyers to the development, giving them an insight into how the development is progressing and a feeling for the location and ambience of the development. By welcoming visitors on-site, Al Furjan can successfully promote the principles of community living, the basis on which this development is formed.

Type of Investment we could follow

There are many different types of investment. Broadly speaking, they fit into four asset classes:

  • Short term deposits
  • Bonds
  • Property
  • Shares
Within each asset class there are investments to suit different kinds of risk, duration, returns and liquidity

(1) Short term deposits


Bank savings accounts

The simplest kind of short term (or cash) investment is a savings account. Returns are low compared to other investments, but returns are guaranteed by the bank - so your investment won't drop in value in the short term like others might. You can withdraw part or all of your money whenever you want (total liquidity). This makes them ideal for short term savings goals, or as a place to keep your emergency fund - They're not a good investment option for medium or long term goals.

Bank fixed term investments

You give the bank a lump sum for a set period (a fixed term) usually three, six or 12 months. Your money is locked away for the fixed term. In return, you get a higher interest rate than you could get in a straight savings account. You may be able to withdraw your money, but you will get a lower rate. These can be a good short or medium term investment, depending on interest rates. Interest rates are always changing - sometimes they go through a 'high phase' - this is usually a good time to have money on fixed term deposit.

(2) Bonds

A bond is like an IOU issued by a government or a company. You give them money for a certain period, and they promise to pay a certain interest rate and re-pay you on maturity. Bonds lock your money away for a set period of time, but they can sometimes be traded. Generally, they aren't a good short term investment. Small investors don't usually invest directly in bonds, it's more usual to go through a managed fund.

Finance company debentures are a kind of bond. These are not usually able to be traded. Finance companies come in many shapes and sizes, and the risk of their investments varies as well.

(3) Property

For most New Zealanders, their home is their largest asset. But you need to separate your emotional ties to your home from your investment objectives. Think about how much of your net worth is tied up in your home. Would it be wiser to buy a smaller house and spread your money across other investments as well? Check out how your home fits into your retirement plan.

Rental property

Owning property rented to individuals or businesses can be a safe and profitable investment. Returns from property investment come from rental income, after deducting expenses, and from the increase in the value of property over time.

People debate whether property is a better investment than shares. What’s important to remember is that they’re different forms of investment. If well managed both can provide good long-term results. If not, and without the right knowledge and attention, investment in shares and property can result in significant losses. It’s easy to see losses on the share market because the prices are available almost daily. Losses on property investment are generally not published, so don’t believe anyone who suggests “you can’t go wrong with property investment”.

We don’t encourage anyone to rush into investment in shares in particular companies or investment in a particular property. Unless you’re prepared to put the time into understanding and managing the many aspects and issues of property investment, then we suggest you leave it to others.

That’s not to say you can’t benefit from property as an investment. There are several different ways in investing in property - directly or indirectly.

If you’re interested in direct property investment, you can manage the day-to-day administration of your rental property yourself, or use a property management company to do it for you. A property management company takes on the tasks of finding tenants, collecting the rent and bond monies, and attending to maintenance issues etc on your behalf. The fees charged for these services are usually a percentage of the rental income.

For an indirect property investment, you can invest in a KiwiSaver scheme, private superannuation scheme or managed investment fund that invests some of your money in property. This could be by way of ownership of rented buildings or by way of an investment in shares of public companies, which specialise in property ownership.

This is another option that gives you the many advantages of property ownership without having to find the property and do the hands on management yourself. This type of indirect property investment also makes it easier for the average investor to get the benefits of diversification.

Also take a look at direct investment in property.

(4) Shares

By investing in shares in a public company listed on a stock exchange you get the right to share in the future income and value of that company. Your return can come in two ways:

  • Dividends paid out of the profits made by the company.
  • Capital gains made because you're able at some time to sell your shares for more than you paid. Gains may reflect the fact that the company has grown or improved its performance or that the investment community see that it has improved future prospects.

Of course shares can also lose value.

Any loss or gain in value is said to be 'realised' if you sell the shares right there and then. If you hold onto them the loss or gain is 'unrealised'.

The price of shares in any individual public listed company can vary from day to day. On any day some shares may go up in value and some down, depending on how investors view the prospects of each company. And all of the listed company shares in a particular country or industry may increase or decrease in price because of rises and falls in economic confidence or changes in the particular industry. There are a range of complex factors which influence share prices on a daily basis and no one can accurately predict what price listed shares will be in the future.

We know from past experience that some companies will fail and some will flourish. Overall the long-term trend is for the value of listed companies to increase at a rate higher than inflation. Therefore by investing in a wide range of companies operating in a range of industries and countries, an investor has a good chance of making long-term gains. Remember that in assessing the return from shares you need to take into account dividends received as well as capital gains. You should also expect that the dividends from the shares that you own will increase over time.

Because of the volatility of share prices (ie the fact that in the short term they may go up or down) it’s not wise to invest funds which you need in the short term, in shares. When you need your money you’ll generally be able to sell your shares, but the price at the time may be below your purchase price. Shares should be used as a long-term investment.

Understanding the product range explains how fund managers help investors find combinations of shares and other products, which suit their needs.

Also take a look at direct investment to see why some investors prefer to develop their own investment portfolios themselves.

Direct investment

You can invest directly in term deposits, bonds, shares and property or you can place your money in a KiwiSaver scheme, private superannuation scheme or managed fund and have full time specialists look after the investment decisions for you.

For some people making their own investment decisions and taking a more hands on approach gives them personal satisfaction and saves them paying management fees. If you’re interested in direct investment talk to an accountant or adviser.

Direct investment in shares in specific companies or selected rental properties should only be undertaken if you have detailed knowledge or are prepared to pay for specialist advice. Particularly in the case of property investment, you need to be willing to either spend the necessary time on administration and management, or to pay a property management company to do this for you.

If you’re interested in direct investment in shares you can start by talking to an adviser or NZX Market Participant.

People who want to acquire their own property investment generally have to rely more on their own knowledge and judgement. It’s therefore important to read publications and attend property investment seminars before making any decisions.

Issues you need to consider include the location and type of property (eg city or rural, residential, retail, warehouse, manufacturing, office or special purpose property such as motels or carparking buildings etc), financing and taxation arrangements, price, condition of property and maintenance requirements, lease terms, selection of sound tenants, record keeping etc. Owning a property is like operating a small business. Know the business, put time into the detail and you’ve a good chance of doing well. Rushing in without doing your homework can lead to disaster or at least a risk that you’ll lose some of your capital.

If you want to invest directly in shares or property remember the importance of duration, risk, diversification, returns and liquidity.

Managed funds

In a managed fund your money is pooled with other investors, and a professional fund manager invests it in a variety of investments. Managed funds come in many forms - different funds invest in different types of assets for different objectives. Some funds target all-out growth and invest more in high risk shares than others - they could rise dramatically or just as easily drop dramatically. These are funds for money that isn't absolutely vital to your future plans. Other funds look for solid long term growth from a range of deposits, bonds, and shares - a better place for a lump sum intended for your retirement. Financial advisers, banks and insurance companies can all advise you on managed funds that match your investment needs.

Note there used to be a tax disadvantage in investing in managed funds. However this is no longer the case with managed funds that are PIEs (Portfolio Investment Entities).

Managed funds allow investors access to markets which would otherwise be difficult to invest in. For example, managed funds let you invest overseas or in commercial property.

Managed funds usually involve paying management and administration fees. These can vary a lot, so check to see what you'd have to pay. Use our product comparison checklist to compare several funds.

ETA InfoTech foresee investments opportunity at GITEX 2008


ETA InfoTech, the IT arm of Dubai-based ETA Ascon Star Group, announced investment of Dhs55m in the region's healthcare, education and BFSI (banking, finance, securities, and insurance) sectors in line with the government's vision for the UAE.

As pioneers in providing IT solutions to the UAE's Healthcare and Education, the company's decision to invest more in these sectors is in response to the growing market requirement for seamless integration of products and services in the region.

ETA InfoTech is showcasing its flagship Products & Solutions in the fields of Healthcare, Education and BFSI at Gitex Dubai 2008, the annual Information Technology exhibition being held in Dubai from October 19 to 23.

The company's stand is located at D6- 40 in Hall-6 of Dubai International Convention & Exhibition Centre, where it has displayed its 12 flagship products.

ETA InfoTech provides high-end products and solutions in ERP, Banking, Fleet Management & GPS-based Tracking, Driving School Management, School and College Management, Content Technology & e-Learning, Business Intelligence, Healthcare, CRM and Video Conferencing.

ETA InfoTech has branches across India, the USA, Middle East, South East Asia and Africa and has development centres in India, Bangladesh and Dubai.

On the IT Solutions front, ETA InfoTech has partnered with leading technology providers, namely Oracle, SAP, Microsoft, Sun, HP, Cisco, NetApp, 3Com, Symantec, Trend Micro, Avaya, Talisma, Infowave, Bosco and IMS.

Some of ETA InfoTech's customers in the UAE include the Government of Dubai, Abu Dhabi Municipality, Ministry of Health, Ajman Ports, Weatherford, Wafa Oil and Field, LG, IBM, Mitsubishi, Lornamead, Wade Adams, Ascon, Star Properties, Khalidiya Palace Residence, Al Reem Island, Al Jurf, Damas, Al Haseena, GEMS Group of Schools, BITS Pilani, Manipal University, Al Ghurair University, RAK Rock, RAK Nor, Steven Rock, Cars, Al Ghazal Transport, Emirates bank, First Gulf Bank, Bank of Baroda, Al Noor Hospital, Al Zahra Hospital and Arabia Healthcare.

Kuwait to enter Abu Dhabi projects.....



Mayadeen, a listed Kuwaiti shareholding company, has announced it has signed five major contracts for its Shams Abu Dhabi projects.

Emirates Technical Associates, Beijing Construction Engineering Group and Cansult Maunsell are among the five companies that are due to work on its Dari and Aurora projects.

Khalid Jassem Al-Wazzan, Mayadeen chairman, said that the contracts have been signed to show the scope of ambition from the company and its commitment to delivering the build to it the highest possible standard.

"This is a milestone in Mayadeen's journey to establishing itself as a key player in the property development industry across the region," he stated.

Naser Ali Al-Attar, Mayadeen chief executive officer, said that it wanted to work with these "distinguished institutions" in order to complete the project.

According to the firm, both of the projects will have two high-rise residential towers reaching more than 200 metres high while having one tower for commercial purposes.

Meanwhile, Colliers International last week announced the launch of its House Price Index for Dubai.

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